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Old 09-24-2012, 06:29   #76
Planes v1.0b
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I doubt half of them are americans, at the very least I hope not.
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Old 09-24-2012, 10:41   #77
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I allways hated math, but seeing how many math professors there are i migth learn some things here.
So if you quick compose while having 50% chance you will either Succed or not, you either fail or win. So if you will quick compose 3 times, each time with 50% chance there are 8 posible outcomes (hope i am not missing any)

Win Win Win
Win Win Fail
Win Fail Win
Fail Win Win
Fail Fail Win
Fail Win Fail
Win Fail Fail
Fail Fail Fail

So tell me what are the chances of each one happening? And why you think so.
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Last edited by LitasLTL; 09-24-2012 at 21:14.
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Old 09-24-2012, 10:46   #78
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Originally Posted by LitasLTL View Post
I allways hated math, but seeing how many math professors there are i migth learn some things here.
So if you quick compose while having 50% chance you will either Succed or not, you either fail or win. So if you will quick compose 3 times, each time with 50% chance there are 8 posible outcomes (hope i am not missing any)

Win Win Win
Win Win Fail
Win Fail Win
Fail Win Win
Fail Fail Win
Fail Win Fail
Win Fail Fail
Fail Fail Fail

So tell me what are the chances of each one happening? And why you think so.
The chances of this mathematics concluding to be true would be a much more interesting calculation. Or you could continue to talk fake facts about something that doesn't ever happen, I do believe the point was missed not by me but by your dumb infertile dysfunctional pennis.
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Old 09-24-2012, 11:56   #79
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Originally Posted by Myaio View Post
The chances of this mathematics concluding to be true would be a much more interesting calculation. Or you could continue to talk fake facts about something that doesn't ever happen, I do believe the point was missed not by me but by your dumb infertile dysfunctional pennis.
Is this my poor English or you simply rarely make any sense in what you say
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Old 09-24-2012, 14:07   #80
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So tell me what are the chances of each one happening? And why you think so.
Each possibility in that set of 3 tries has a 12.5% chance of happening. Each possibility had an equal chance of occurring, and there are 8 possibilities. 1/8=12.5%.

It's rare that anything myaio says makes sense.
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Old 09-24-2012, 14:28   #81
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Statistics aside... I think I'll buy up all the +1 stone packs in market today and spam em on my gears.
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Old 09-24-2012, 15:11   #82
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Originally Posted by Myaio View Post
50/100 + 50/100 + 50/100 = 150/300. This is still 50%
I stopped there. 50/100+50/100+50/100 = 150/100 = 1.5

How can a person claiming to have 200+ IQ and yet fail something like that? =/

To take this down to Myaio level so she understands.

Individually the chance of the compose will be 50% chance. But the chance of something happening over and over again is not the same.

According to your math, there is a 50% chance that you fail an infinite amount of times without succeeding. Do you see the flaws in that math?
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Old 09-24-2012, 15:58   #83
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Seppo View Post
I stopped there. 50/100+50/100+50/100 = 150/100 = 1.5

How can a person claiming to have 200+ IQ and yet fail something like that? =/

To take this down to Myaio level so she understands.

Individually the chance of the compose will be 50% chance. But the chance of something happening over and over again is not the same.

According to your math, there is a 50% chance that you fail an infinite amount of times without succeeding. Do you see the flaws in that math?
There are many hidden variables not being taken into consideration with that statement, such as the one I put forth and that got ignored.
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Old 09-24-2012, 17:05   #84
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Planes v1.0b View Post
There are many hidden variables not being taken into consideration with that statement, such as the one I put forth and that got ignored.
You mean this one?
Quote:
Also to all those people, what if you failed twice, and then just after you failed the second time, someone else is quick composing and succeeds, how does this play on your chances of then succeeding after they did? Surely it hurts your chances since everybody has the same 50/50 chance of winning.
I'm pretty sure everyone ignored it because it was idiotic.

Sure is a lot of gambler's fallacy up here.
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Old 09-24-2012, 17:42   #85
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Your idiotic.


See, I can do it too without offering any sort of explanation.
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Old 09-24-2012, 17:57   #86
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I did offer an explanation:

Quote:
Sure is a lot of gambler's fallacy up here.
It's an independent event. Nothing at all that happens before you quick compose can affect your chances.
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Old 09-24-2012, 18:09   #87
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Originally Posted by ghfdhhdf View Post
I did offer an explanation:



It's an independent event. Nothing at all that happens before you quick compose can affect your chances.
I agree that it is, just like I agree that none of there prior quick composes effect the outcome of there current try, but that had nothing to do with the point of what I said.
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Old 09-24-2012, 18:27   #88
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Planes v1.0b View Post
Myaio is the smartest person in this thread as far as this argument goes.

Also to all those people, what if you failed twice, and then just after you failed the second time, someone else is quick composing and succeeds, how does this play on your chances of then succeeding after they did? Surely it hurts your chances since everybody has the same 50/50 chance of winning.
Each event is independent from each other. Meaning nothing that happened previously has an effect in your outcome. Just because someone else quick composed between your attempts will not determine if you have a higher or lower success rate. That is the definition of a independent event.

Speaking of, thanks for agreeing with me.
Quote:
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I agree that none of there prior quick composes effect the outcome of there current try

Quote:
Originally Posted by Seppo View Post
I stopped there. 50/100+50/100+50/100 = 150/100 = 1.5

How can a person claiming to have 200+ IQ and yet fail something like that? =/

To take this down to Myaio level so she understands.

Individually the chance of the compose will be 50% chance. But the chance of something happening over and over again is not the same.

According to your math, there is a 50% chance that you fail an infinite amount of times without succeeding. Do you see the flaws in that math?
I stopped taking him serious once I seen him do that.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Planes v1.0b View Post
There are many hidden variables not being taken into consideration with that statement, such as the one I put forth and that got ignored.
What you put forth was your lack of understanding of the word independent. It was ignored because you showed that you don't even know the simplest form of probability. The example here is no different than a coin flip. Just because your friend flipped a coin the same time you flipped one, will not the effect the outcome of your flip.
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Old 09-24-2012, 18:31   #89
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Quote:
Originally Posted by PowerOfGray View Post
Each event is independent from each other. Meaning nothing that happened previously has an effect in your outcome. Just because someone else quick composed between your attempts will not determine if you have a higher or lower success rate. That is the definition of a independent event.

Speaking of, thanks for agreeing with me.




I stopped taking him serious once I seen him do that.


What you put forth was your lack of understanding of the word independent. It was ignored because you showed that you don't even know the simplest form of probability. The example here is no different than a coin flip. Just because your friend flipped a coin the same time you flipped one, will not the effect the outcome of your flip.
You are on the same server flipping the same coin, it has just as much effect of the outcome of your flip as your previous flips. And I wasn't agreeing with you, it was what I thought all along, and said all along, pretty sure my first post in this thread was me talking about when i bet on red in roulette 25 times and lost all 25 times.
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Old 09-24-2012, 19:54   #90
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Planes v1.0b View Post
You are on the same server flipping the same coin, it has just as much effect of the outcome of your flip as your previous flips.
Well yes, that is true. it also has the same effect as a coin flip done by anyone else in the world.
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