[*~BeLLaDonna~*]

Hello everyone =)

After a lil bit more than one year of Jiang Hu training on four accounts, I decided to share the result... which is a lil bit strange to me >.<

Three of the accounts have about normal scores I guess..But one of the girls has a score that is very high in comparison of the other three.. more than 7000 points >.<.. and I don't believe in the "luck" thing

Anyone has some kinda hypothesis about the reason of that large gap plz?

Thank you

Started second: 78,200

Started first: 71,000
Started third: 69,800
Started fourth: 68,200

[Moonfall]

Luck

[*~BeLLaDonna~*]

Hello Moonfall =)

No, luck has nothing to do here.

Games is made of numbers and coding (I guess >.<) I think some things in the game give higher mathematical probabilities to some characters to obtain better results... 7000 points in Jiang Hu is not one lucky day. It is constant better results over a long period of time.

[Giancarlo456]

Originally Posted by *~belladonna~*

hello moonfall =)

no, luck has nothing to do here.

Games is made of numbers and coding (i guess >.<) i think some things in the game give higher mathematical probabilities to some characters to obtain better results... 7000 points in jiang hu is not one lucky day. It is constant better results over a long period of time.

[rumor] [confirmed]

[*~BeLLaDonna~*]

Originally Posted by *~BeLLaDonna~*

Anyone has some kinda hypothesis about the reason of that large gap plz?

That

Originally Posted by Giancarlo456

[rumor] [confirmed]

You rumor-tagged me urghhh! @_@

Just trying to understand how the game works. Maybe someone has some statistical insight about its mechanics

[CEED]

this must be RNG [RUMOR]

[1Mystic]

Originally Posted by *~BeLLaDonna~*

Hello everyone =)

After a lil bit more than one year of Jiang Hu training on four accounts, I decided to share the result... which is a lil bit strange to me >.<

Three of the accounts have about normal scores I guess..But one of the girls has a score that is very high in comparison of the other three.. more than 7000 points >.<.. and I don't believe in the "luck" thing

Anyone has some kinda hypothesis about the reason of that large gap plz?

Thank you

Started second: 78,200

Started first: 71,000
Started third: 69,800
Started fourth: 68,200

Maybe it’s based on the chi, bp, character levels, cp buying, vip level,online time etc. Has nothing to do with luck.

[Alek3]

Some players even theorize that depending on the time of the day you're studying, you could get better results lol. Kinda like the whole "chi spots" thing.

[*~BeLLaDonna~*]

Originally Posted by 1Mystic

Maybe it’s based on the chi, bp, character levels, cp buying, vip level,online time etc. Has nothing to do with luck.

Hello Mystic =)

Hmmm didn't think about VIP... she's the only one VIP6, the others are VIP5

[shule]

Having done many jiang chars I'd say it's just based on luck (they must run a basic random func ), on the same char regardless being vip or not u can cahin in a signle day 3-6 epics you need like you ca be stuck a whole month on just one star, and that's for any char you train. if there's a formula I want it too lol

[Moonfall]

Originally Posted by *~BeLLaDonna~*

Hello Moonfall =)

No, luck has nothing to do here.

Games is made of numbers and coding (I guess >.<) I think some things in the game give higher mathematical probabilities to some characters to obtain better results... 7000 points in Jiang Hu is not one lucky day. It is constant better results over a long period of time.

Flip 5 coins 1000 times. Ofcourse 500 is the most likely outcome, but it is almost as probable as 499, or 498. One can have 530 heads, an other 490. If you do it with nearly infinite coins some will have 100% head, even with a 50/50 probability. Your sample size is too small to make any conclusion.
Please learn statistics before dismissing my reason for the lucky coin that did 530 heads.

[Rapter]

Originally Posted by *~BeLLaDonna~*

Hello Mystic =)

Hmmm didn't think about VIP... she's the only one VIP6, the others are VIP5

Its All Luck, in fact VIP 6 accounts in my experience has less luck as TQ want to sucker you in for more CP's

[*~BeLLaDonna~*]

Originally Posted by Moonfall

Flip 5 coins 1000 times. Ofcourse 500 is the most likely outcome, but it is almost as probable as 499, or 498. One can have 530 heads, an other 490. If you do it with nearly infinite coins some will have 100% head, even with a 50/50 probability. Your sample size is too small to make any conclusion.
Please learn statistics before dismissing my reason for the lucky coin that did 530 heads.

Hello Moonfall =)

My sample size is not too small *sigh*:

14 months x 30 days (to simplify) x 14 trainings per day (averaged) = 5880 trainings - You don't need millions or tens of thousands

I am pretty sure you can make some statistical analyses out of that sample

Out of all those trainings, here are the results again - Forgot to say that the girl with the highest score is also the one who trained the least cuz on other machine... The other ones, I trained everyday:

Started second: 78,200

Started first: 71,000
Started third: 69,800
Started fourth: 68,200

I am not drawing any conclusion, but I am dismissing completely the concept of luck. You speaking about a coin flip.. in the game someone had to programmed that flip and set parameters.. there is not "lucky coin flip" in the game

If someone who has good understanding of statistics has time, please feel free to take a look ^_^

Thank you

[Moonfall]

Ofcourse there is a coin flip in co. You really think they set the jiang, chi and lotto rewards you will get on char creation?
The difference in scores is not that high even. You are at the ultra to epic range. Each epic changes your score alot. Dont think your score goes linear from 0 to 81000. With the multiplication and difference in score between normal to refined and ultra to epic your score changes more rapidly at the end.
Sadly you dismissed luck so you wont get a real answer. Have fun thinking you are cursed or whatever.

[squidgemelent]

Originally Posted by *~BeLLaDonna~*

Hello Moonfall =)

My sample size is not too small *sigh*:

14 months x 30 days (to simplify) x 14 trainings per day (averaged) = 5880 trainings - You don't need millions or tens of thousands

I am pretty sure you can make some statistical analyses out of that sample

Out of all those trainings, here are the results again - Forgot to say that the girl with the highest score is also the one who trained the least cuz on other machine... The other ones, I trained everyday:

Started second: 78,200

Started first: 71,000
Started third: 69,800
Started fourth: 68,200

I am not drawing any conclusion, but I am dismissing completely the concept of luck. You speaking about a coin flip.. in the game someone had to programmed that flip and set parameters.. there is not "lucky coin flip" in the game

If someone who has good understanding of statistics has time, please feel free to take a look ^_^

Thank you

you are right in the sense that three of your characters are so ridiculously close compared to the one outlier which almost negates the need for a big sample size, but there are still so many factors that are unknowns to everyone that it isnt enough

for example, different stats have different weightings (e.g max mp vs pattack) as well as different stages (stage 1 easier than stage 2), so the builds you are creating are skewing your results. secondly, your method of training is skewing results too (do i accept random ultras to epic asap, do i accept purples to remain actively strong, when do i use my pills, etc).

someone did code how it works, yes, but it takes effort to add in extra parameters. TQ as a company wouldnt invest money into something that nets no profit. what they would have done, and did, was tell people in what way they can spend money to manipulate their jiang for better results (they invented green/red pills). the only guaranteed outside factor would be the time you study your jiang (might as well have not mentioned it though since your chances of manipulating it are zero). anything else is highly unlikely